2026 Constructors' title race

Mercedes lead Ferrari by 133 points with 5 races left, 215 points still to win.

Title race · ConstructorsRound 19 / Sun 1 NovemberMexico City Grand Prix

Leader: 607pts · Mercedes
Lead: 133pts over Ferrari
Races left: 5215 pts to win
Still in it: 2of 11 teams

As of Round 18 · United States Grand Prix5 races left · 215 points to win

The situation

Ferrari is the only team that can still catch Mercedes.
Ferrari's best possible total is 689 points against Mercedes' 607: the points Ferrari drops from that maximum plus the points Mercedes scores must add up to 81 or fewer.
Mercedes cannot be sure of the title at the Mexico City Grand Prix on their own score: it depends on how many points the rivals score (see the conditions below and the grid).

Title fight

Mercedes leads by 133 points after round 18

Cumulative points · races + sprints

175

350

525

700

R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9R10R11R12R13R14R15R16R17R18

The 2 teams still in the title race

Points now, and the most each could reach if they won everything that is left. Ranked by points, then by countback (most wins, then most second places).

Win
Podium
Points (team colour)
No points
One bar per Grand Prix · bar height = both cars' points · colour = best car

Mercedes12 winsLeader

607points

LeaderBest possible 822 pts · 12 wins

Mercedes cannot be sure of the title at the Mexico City Grand Prix on their own score: it depends on how many points the rivals score (see the conditions below and the grid).

Race formR1–R18

Ferrari2 wins133 behind

474points

In contentionBest possible 689 pts · 2 wins

Ferrari's best possible total is 689 points against Mercedes' 607: the points Ferrari drops from that maximum plus the points Mercedes scores must add up to 81 or fewer.

Race formR1–R18

What the next race decides

Mexico City Grand Prix

Round 19 · Sun 1 November · 172 points still to win after it

The leaders

Mercedes cannot be sure of the title at the Mexico City Grand Prix on their own score: it depends on how many points the rivals score (see the conditions below and the grid).

Ferrari

Ferrari stay in the title race unless Mercedes outscore them by 39 points or more over the race; if so, Mercedes are champions.

Mercedes against Ferrari

Every result for the top two at Mexico City Grand Prix: rows are Mercedes' points scored this weekend, columns are Ferrari's.

Rows: MercedesColumns: Ferrari

Mercedes (rows) against Ferrari (columns): Ferrari's points scored this weekend across the top
Mercedes down, Ferrari across	0	1-9	10-18	19-27	28-36	37-43
0	O	O	O	O	O	O
1-9	O	O	O	O	O	O
10-18	O	O	O	O	O	O
19-27	O	O	O	O	O	O
28-36	O	O	O	O	O	O
37-43	~	~	O	O	O	–

C = title won
O = rival still in the title race
X = rival out, another contender still alive
R = rival takes the lead
~ = depends on the exact places

Each cell groups every way the two teams' four cars can finish for that many points; a mixed cell means the exact finishing places decide.

Rows are Mercedes' result. Two teams cannot take the same place, so those cells are empty (–). Everyone else is free to finish anywhere.

Out of contention

The teams who can no longer win the title, and the round at which the maths ruled them out: found by replaying the season, asking after every round who could still catch the leader with the races left at the time.

Team	Pts now	Ruled out after
Haas	30	Round 13 · Italian Grand Prix
Audi	23	Round 13 · Italian Grand Prix
Williams	12	Round 13 · Italian Grand Prix
Aston Martin	7	Round 13 · Italian Grand Prix
Cadillac	0	Round 13 · Italian Grand Prix
Racing Bulls	111	Round 14 · Spanish Grand Prix
Alpine	78	Round 14 · Spanish Grand Prix
Red Bull	339	Round 17 · Singapore Grand Prix
McLaren	353	Round 18 · United States Grand Prix

Every team: points and the most they can still reach

#	Team	Pts	Gap	Wins	Best possible	Status
1	Mercedes	607		12	822	Leader
2	Ferrari	474	-133	2	689	In contention
3	McLaren	353	-254	2	568	Out of the title race
4	Red Bull	339	-268	2	554	Out of the title race
5	Racing Bulls	111	-496	0	326	Out of the title race
6	Alpine	78	-529	0	293	Out of the title race
7	Haas	30	-577	0	245	Out of the title race
8	Audi	23	-584	0	238	Out of the title race
9	Williams	12	-595	0	227	Out of the title race
10	Aston Martin	7	-600	0	222	Out of the title race
11	Cadillac	0	-607	0	215	Out of the title race

How this is worked out

Points: 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1 for the first ten in a Grand Prix and 8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 for the first eight in a sprint. There is no point for the fastest lap. A non-scoring finish or a retirement scores nothing.
What is left to win is 25 points for every Grand Prix still to run and 8 for every sprint, for a team 43 and 15, because both cars score. A team is still in the title race if their points plus that total is more than the leader's.
If that total only equals the leader's points, the tie-break decides, as the FIA Sporting Regulations set it: most wins, then most second places, then most thirds, and so on, counting both cars' Grand Prix finishes only. We test it in the best case for the challenger: they win everything that is left and the leader scores nothing more.
Every sentence above is generated from the stored results and the race calendar, including which remaining rounds are sprint weekends, so it changes by itself after each race.
We assume the other finishing places can be filled by drivers who are themselves out of the title race, so a "stays alive" is a mathematical possibility, not a prediction. A "the title is won" or "is out" is certain.